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12.25 Evening BTC Price Forecast and Analysis
I. Core Market Signal Analysis
1. Key Support and Resistance Zones
- Support Zone: 87200-87300 (intraday low of 87219.0 is the core) is the short-term critical defense level for the bulls. This zone has absorbed bottom-fishing funds after the intraday plunge. Holding this zone will cause the downward momentum to rapidly weaken; if it is effectively broken, the next support is at the 87000-87100 integer level.
- Resistance Zone: 87500-87600 is the first resistance during the evening rebound, where the price has repeatedly encountered resistance during the intraday decline; 87800-87900 is the second resistance zone (midway resistance after intraday rally). Breaking through requires sustained volume increase; otherwise, it may trigger selling pressure from the bears.
2. Volume and Momentum Assessment
During the day, BTC quickly dropped from 87985.0 to 87219.0, then rebounded to 87474.6, with trading volume continuously decreasing. This indicates that although the bears' selling pressure is easing, the bulls' counterattack lacks additional capital support, representing a weak correction with overall momentum leaning bearish.
3. Technical Pattern Features
The hourly chart shows a "sharp decline + weak rebound" bearish pattern. The rebound candlesticks have small bodies and prominent upper shadows, indicating that the bulls' upward probing is very weak and no effective reversal signal has formed yet.
II. Evening Bullish and Bearish Strategies
1. Bullish Strategy
- Entry Conditions: BTC retraces to the 87200-87300 zone and shows volume-supported stabilization candlesticks (such as hammer or bullish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Below 87150 to avoid breakdown risk.
- Targets: First target at 87500-87600; after breakthrough, look for 87800-87900-88200.
2. Bearish Strategy
- Entry Conditions: BTC rebounds to the 87500-87600 zone and shows volume-supported resistance candlesticks (such as shooting star or bearish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Above 87700 to prevent false breakouts.
- Targets: First target at 87200-87300; if broken, look for 87000-86500-86000.
III. Evening Market Outlook and Conclusion
BTC is likely to fluctuate weakly within the 87200-87600 range tonight. Due to the residual bearish pressure and the lack of bullish strength, a breakout from this range will be necessary to trigger a trending move. If you're unsure about entry timing and rhythm, just find the captain! The captain will monitor the market in real-time, analyze anomalies, and precisely signal bullish or bearish opportunities, helping you confidently seize profit chances and take you to the skies!