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#FedRateCutForecast #美联储降息预测
As we approach the final Fed meeting of 2025, the entire market is holding its breath. With an 84% probability of a 25BP rate cut, traders are bracing for a potential shift in sentiment. A rate cut at this stage—after months of tightening pressure—could inject fresh liquidity and bring relief to both traditional and crypto markets.
📉 My Outlook:
If the Fed cuts rates, we could witness a short-term rebound driven by renewed risk appetite. However, the magnitude of the bounce may depend on Powell’s tone. A cautious or uncertain outlook could limit upside momentum. I expect volatility spikes across BTC, ETH, and major altcoins, especially in sectors like AI, RWA, and L2 tokens.
📈 My Trading Strategy:
BTC/ETH: Accumulating on dips ahead of the announcement; keeping stop-losses tight due to expected volatility.
Altcoins: Watching for breakout setups in high-liquidity coins — SOL, TON, AVAX — which tend to react faster to macro shifts.
Short-term plays: If the cut is confirmed, I plan to ride the initial breakout but exit quickly if the rally loses steam.
If no rate cut: I expect a pullback, especially in leveraged positions — planning hedge shorts on major pairs.
The upcoming decision is more than just a number — it’s a signal of the Fed’s direction for early 2026. This is a crucial moment for traders to stay sharp, manage risk, and position for the next big move.
Let’s see if this December brings the relief rally everyone is hoping for!