#数字货币市场洞察 Share your thoughts on this $BTC move. My view is simple: either it rebounds directly from here, or it pulls back to 70,000-75,000 before going up again. Either way, there will be at least two months of rebound ahead—this overall direction hasn't changed for me.

But how to trade specifically? Honestly, it's pretty tough. If you want to improve your win rate and avoid losing money, here's what I do:

I keep holding the short positions on major coins that I placed at high levels. I've held several positions from the top all the way to now without moving. For short-term shorts on major coins, it depends on the entry point—if the position isn't right, I'd rather not open a trade at all. Chasing shorts can easily get you caught at the bottom. For spicy altcoins, I keep looking for short opportunities with small positions and stop-losses. If the short goes in, I take profits in batches; the rest can go to zero for all I care—it’s all about grinding it out in a bear market.

As for bottom fishing, wait for a 12-hour-level rebound signal, then consider spot in major coins and altcoins. Unless we really drop to the 70,000-75,000 range, I'll only touch spot, not long contracts—if you're not sure you can catch the bottom, don't act recklessly.

The AI Agent on-chain track is still worth watching; related sectors on some top exchanges have shown movement lately. There's still opportunity for small capital to make a play—plenty of coins in this sector have doubled or gone 3x, 5x, and with some luck, you might catch a 10x, 20x, or even higher. If you want to try your luck for big returns with small money, think it through—this could be your shot to turn a small stake into something big.

Final reminder: the main theme of a bear market rebound is shorting. If you don't know how to short, really take the time to learn, or you'll just be watching the market helplessly.

$ETH The logic for these major coins is pretty much the same, just compare for yourself.