Gate News bot message, approximately one hour ago, an anonymous wallet was created and placed a bet of $25,676 on Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by March 31. Following this transaction, the odds have increased to 77%.
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The two major parties in the United States are pushing a bill to curb "insider trading in prediction markets," with fines up to twice the profits gained.
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Cathie Wood's ARK taps Kalshi data to help make investment calls
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Polymarket adds a new prediction event: When will the Trump administration terminate the criminal investigation into Powell? The probability of termination before June is 56%.
Polymarket has added a new event "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," with data showing a 39% probability of termination before April 30 and 56% before June 30. The market settles based on official information, and the investigation stems from Powell's testimony to Congress. Trump has stated that there are currently no plans to advance the investigation.
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Hey Anon Announces Launch of “Pandora” Prediction Market on Ethereum
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Messari: Polymarket's optimistic valuation expectation for 2028 will reach $111.2 billion.
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Polymarket's probability of gold falling below $4,300 by the end of March has risen to 39%, up 21% in the past 24 hours.
On March 27, as gold prices declined, the probability of the event "Gold falling below $4,300 by the end of March" on Polymarket rose to 39%. International crude oil futures surged significantly due to uncertainties in US-Iran negotiations, while the three major U.S. stock indices fell. Meanwhile, spot gold dropped to $4,402.51, down 0.55% over 24 hours.
GateNews4h ago
