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Family members, don’t get overly excited just because the market has rebounded a bit these past two days. We need to pour a cold bucket of water and wake up. The current market situation, frankly, is “illness comes like a mountain collapse, recovery is like unraveling silk,” so brothers who want to go all-in and take off immediately, hold on a bit longer.
Don’t rush to pop the champagne; the real test has just begun.
Where is the bottom?
According to that seemingly mysterious “adjusted realized price” model, Bitcoin (BTC) needs to drop to around $59,000 before it hits the true bottom threshold. At this level, it’s at most a service area on the downhill road, still some distance from the real trough.
Bottoming is not a “quick dish”:
Many people always fantasize about a V-shaped reversal in one or two weeks and head straight to the club for models. Wake up! Even elephants take half a day to turn around, let alone bottoming out such a large market. Industry veteran Axel directly laid it out: this process will take about six months. It’s a long tug-of-war, a test of who has the longer endurance and more bullets.
Emotions are fake, demand is the real thing:
The current partial rebound, frankly, is everyone’s collective illusion of “wanting to rise.” This kind of emotional recovery is the least reliable. The real bottom will be established when those big players holding real money think “this price is really attractive,” and spot buy orders flood in like a stream. Only when everyone starts seriously pricing future value instead of guessing blindly will the market stabilize.
My blunt opinion
The current market is like a patient who just had major surgery; they’re awake but still need to be observed in ICU for half a year. Don’t be fooled by one or two bullish candles—that might just be adrenaline given by the doctor.
Brothers, true mid- to long-term opportunities are forged through grinding, not rushing. Don’t blow all your bullets in the darkness before dawn. When the “really fragrant price” of $59,000 arrives, you’ll only be left to stare in disbelief.
Follow me, and I’ll help you stay calm during this six-month run-in period. We don’t aim to be the fastest, but to survive until the end. Stay steady, and we can win. #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 $BSB $PRL