12 月 ETH 价格预测 · 发帖挑战 📈
12 月降息预期升温,ETH 热点回暖,借此窗口期发起行情预测互动!
欢迎 Gate 社区用户 —— 判趋势 · 猜行情 · 赢奖励 💰
奖励 🎁:预测命中的用户中抽取 5 位,每位 10 USDT
时间 📅:预测截止 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)
参与方式 ✍️:
在 Gate 广场发布 ETH 行情预测帖,写明价格区间(如 $3,200–$3,400,区间需<$200),并添加话题 #ETH12月行情预测
发帖示例 👇
示例①:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,150-$3,250
行情偏震荡上行,若降息如期落地 + ETF 情绪配合,冲击前高可期 🚀
示例②:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,300-$3,480
资金回流 + L2 降费利好中期趋势,向上试探 $3,400 的概率更高 📊
评选规则 📍
以 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)ETH 实时价格为参考
价格落入预测区间 → 视为命中
若命中人数>5 → 从命中者中随机抽取 5 位 🏆
dollar flies (QuinceCreative/Pixabay)
Bitcoin's (BTC) near-term outlook looks constructive as blockchain data suggests that short-term holders of the cryptocurrency are cashing in on profits.
According to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode, the seven-day moving average of short holder's (STH) spent product profit ratio (SOPR) recently rose above 1.
"After a short period of losing coins, STH-SOPR is now back above 1," analysts at Blockware Solutions wrote in a weekly bulletin. "This is bullish for near-term price action as it indicates surrender from short-term holders."
A short-term SOPR greater than 1 means that the average short-term holder in the market is selling coins at a profit. A reading below 1 is considered a sign of surrender, while a reading of 1 indicates that the average short-term owner has just broken even.
SOPR is calculated by dividing the realized dollar value of the spent product (UTXO) by the value at the time of product creation to reflect the realized profit rate for all coins carried on the chain. A short-term SOPR holder focuses on all wallets that hold their coins for less than 155 days.
STH SOPR has historically stayed above 1 in bull markets. This is understandable, as rallies allow short-term holders – mostly new entrants, active traders or weak hands – to liquidate their holdings at a price higher than their purchase price.
Additionally, the area around 1 tends to act as a support level during bull runs, as owners who expect the price to continue to rise see their cost basis as a profitable buying opportunity. On the flip side, level 1 acts as resistance during downtrends.