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12.26星期五午间行情分析。 当前盘面,一句话定调:多头拉不动,空头蓄势待发!今天下午 16:00,将迎来史上规模最大的期权交割窗口。本次 BTC 期权名义交割规模超过 200 亿美元,属于典型的足以改变短期价格结构的事件级变量。
当前 BTC 的最大痛点位(Max Pain)在 95,000 一线。以现价测算,若价格直接推升至该位置,需要极为庞大的现货与衍生品资金协同推动,难度不低。
BTC昨夜冲高89500,看似强势突破,实则量能断层、虚有其表,没有资金撑腰的上涨,终究是昙花一现,冲高瞬间就被空头狠狠砸回,如今在88800徘徊,多头已是强弩之末!
四小时图看得明明白白,之前那根破中轨的大阳线,早把多头资金严重不足下方86100暂时撑着,但反弹空间早已耗空,空头信号越堆越多,下跌只是时间问题!只要中轨一破,行情必然顺势下探下轨,此刻高位做空,
老规矩,核心思路绝不改:不猜底、不抄底,顺势做空不逆势!
BTC操作建议:89500-90300,先看87300-86500,破位直接下看85000,止损91500
ETH操作建议:2960-3030压力位果断空,先看2910,破位看2830 止损3080