Gate News reports that on March 2026, U.S. President Trump announced a suspension of strikes against Iranian energy facilities, extending the deadline to early April. This statement temporarily led to significant fluctuations in global markets: U.S. stock market value increased by approximately $1.7 trillion in a short time, oil prices dropped by about 15%, and Bitcoin briefly surpassed the $70,000 mark.
However, this market trend quickly reversed. Iran denied the related negotiations, calling them “fake news” and accusing the move of having market manipulation intentions. Subsequently, oil prices rebounded, the stock market retraced its gains, and Bitcoin also fell back from its high, leading to increased market volatility.
It is noteworthy that market movements had already begun prior to the announcement. Data shows that minutes before Trump officially spoke, a large volume of crude oil futures and stock index futures traded in concentrated transactions, far exceeding normal levels, raising questions about the early flow of information. Currently, these related transactions have drawn the attention of regulatory agencies.
Analysts point out that such events exhibit distinct temporal structural characteristics: key policy signals often appear during low market liquidity time windows, such as weekends or pre-market phases, amplifying price fluctuations. This pattern has been referred to by some traders as the “TACO cycle,” which is a repetitive process of impact, decline, reversal, and recovery.
Since the end of 2024, similar events have occurred multiple times. The rhythm between policy statements and market fluctuations enables some funds to capture arbitrage opportunities in a short period. At the same time, this uncertainty has also intensified market risks, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical conflicts and macro pressures.
Experts believe that the current market is influenced not only by policies but also reflects changes in global capital structures. As the concentration of power and information increases, ordinary investors face a more complex trading environment. In the future, the correlation between Bitcoin and traditional assets may further strengthen, and market sensitivity to policy signals will continue to rise.
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