📌 WTI crude oil fell from a high of $104 to $87, how significant is the Strait of Hormuz blockade? 📈 The oil market storyline has reversed dramatically. On April 13, during the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, WTI crude surged 8.2% intraday to $104.49, while Brent surpassed $102.95. Today, WTI has retreated to around $87.08, essentially giving back all the geopolitical risk premium. 🔍 Deep潮TechFlow reports that the US-Iran temporary ceasefire is about to expire, with both sides holding different views on negotiations. The Strait of Hormuz, accounting for about 20% of global oil transportation, if the blockade reignites, the forecast of oil prices reaching $125 reemerges. 💡 Current price analysis: $87 is already a relatively low point for the year. The short-term bullish and bearish logic switch rapidly—negotiation news can influence the market significantly. It is recommended to strictly manage positions with stop-losses, operate based on news, and avoid blindly chasing gains or cutting losses. #原油 #WTI #地缘风险 #霍尔木兹