DanielRomero

Photonics stocks in layman's terms
$TSEM = $TSMC
$LITE = $NVDA
$COHR = $AMD
$BESI = $AMAT
$XFAB = $INTC
$AAOI = $MU
$POET = Groq
$ALMU = Cerebras
$AXTI = $SNDK
$CIEN = $CRDO
$SMTC = $ALAB
$SIVE = $LITE Lite

Who can say they're still up this year?

$ORCL will spend $50B in capex in FY2025
$NBIS will spend $20B in capex in FY2026
One year ago, $NBIS was a $5B company
That’s acceleration

$NVDA TO INVEST $2B IN $NBIS
NVIDIA and Nebius announced a strategic partnership to build and deploy next-generation hyperscale AI cloud infrastructure for both AI-native companies and enterprises.
Nebius said this partnership builds on its existing deployment of NVIDIA infrastructure across its global platform, including multiple gigawatt-scale AI factories in the U.S. NVIDIA will support Nebius’s early adoption of its latest accelerated computing platforms to help Nebius reach more than 5 gigawatts of capacity by the end of 2030.
The collaboration includes:
•AI factory design and support, in

There’s a company that supplies to Ayar Labs and $POET
Two of the hottest photonics stocks
$125m market cap

I’ve found the only supplier to Figure AI and Unitree in the public markets
Who can guess who it is?
*Except for $NVDA

Jefferies forecasts a 31% drop in smartphone shipments amid the memory crisis
Expects Samsung and $AAPL to gain 7 and 5 percentage points of market share, respectively
$QCOM: 63% of revenue from smartphones
$ARM: 30% of revenue from smartphones

$ONDS has made its best acquisition so far for $175M
Mistral is a prime contractor on over $1B of DoD contracts
In 2025, Mistral was awarded a $982M contract for Lethal Unmanned Systems
Mistral operates a 46,000+ sq. ft. production facility in Baltimore County
Vertical integration, in-house manufacturing, and a first-class ticket to the DoD ecosystem

$AAOI insiders are selling at an unprecedented pace

Now we understand why Trump appointed a more hawkish Fed chair

1-year return:
AI accelerators
- $NVDA: 58%
- $AVGO: 70%
- $AMD: 92%
- $MRVL: 26%
- $AMZN: 7%
- $GOOG: 70%
Memory makers
- $MU: 299%
- $SNDK: 933%
- $000660: 392%
Picks and shovels >

Arete Research downgraded $META from Buy to Neutral on Thursday and lowered its price target from $732 to $676
The firm warns that the company’s massive AI infrastructure spending could hurt margins without a clear path to monetization
The downgrade focuses on Meta’s plan to spend between $115 billion and $135 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, nearly double the $72.2 billion it spent the previous year
Arete argued that Meta’s expenses are rising faster than its revenue and that the company does not have the same pool of third-party demand that Google and Amazon benefit from through thei

Chinese study sees US missile defense gaps validated by Iran war
And what could patch those gaps
"Existing US missile defenses can theoretically intercept some hypersonic weapons in their final stage, but high speed, manoeuvrability, and stealth make it very difficult."
"THAAD operates at altitudes between 40km and 150km. When hypersonic missiles glide at lower altitudes, they become difficult to intercept, and at higher altitudes, they are vulnerable to decoy interference."
"Because the heat generated by high-speed travel through the atmosphere can blind the infrared sensors used to lock onto

Stargate is falling apart
$META is interested in leasing the site
$NVDA didn’t respond to requests for comment
Relations between Oracle and Crusoe were already strained by reliability issues at the site. Earlier this year, data center buildings went offline for days due to winter weather affecting some of the liquid cooling machinery
However, it is most likely that Oracle and OpenAI do not want to weaken their balance sheets further and risk bankruptcy if demand estimates fall short

Words are powerful
All it took was the $AVGO CEO coming out to give a hand to copper
Now $CRDO is up on a red day,
while $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI follow the market