12月26日节礼日,全球金融市场在圣诞假期后逐步恢复交易活跃度,比特币价格重拾升势,向9万美元关键关口发起冲击。同时,黄金和白银价格同步刷新历史新高,贵金属与加密资产共同成为市场关注焦点。
根据 TradingView 数据,BTC/USD 当日涨幅超过2%,亚洲时段延续上涨动能。随着华尔街即将开盘,交易员重点关注一项关键变量——价值接近240亿美元的比特币期权集中到期。市场普遍认为,这一事件有助于释放此前压制价格的对冲压力,为比特币走势“松绑”。
加密交易员 BitBull 表示,期权到期后,衍生品结构性因素对价格的影响将显著减弱,市场将更多反映真实持仓需求。他指出,近期比特币价格偏离自然走势,与期权市场的对冲行为密切相关,而这一状况有望在到期后得到修正。
知名加密分析师 Michaël van de Poppe 也对后市持相对乐观态度。他认为,新年通常是资产管理机构进行组合再平衡的窗口期。从风险收益角度看,大宗商品在创新高后存在回调需求,科技股估值偏高,而比特币和加密货币可能成为更具吸引力的配置方向。
值得注意的是,黄金和白银在当日继续走强,双双创下历史新高。根据 Infinite Market Cap 数据,白银市值已一度超过比特币,成为全球第三大资产,仅次于黄金和英伟达。这一变化凸显了避险资产和硬资产在当前宏观环境下的强势地位。
从技术面来看,比特币仍处于自10月以来的调整区间内震荡。分析人士普遍认为,日线级别的有效收盘价将成为判断是否真正突破下行趋势的关键。如果比特币能够站稳9万美元上方,或将打开新一轮上涨空间;反之,区间整理格局仍可能延续。
总体而言,在比特币期权到期、市场流动性回暖以及贵金属持续走强的背景下,加密市场正迎来重要观察窗口。比特币能否借势突破9万美元,将成为短期行情走向的核心看点。
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