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๐ก๏ธ $ZEC Bull Flag + Elliott Wave Breakout Setup ๐
Multi-Timeframe Technical & Flow Analysis
$ZEC is compressing inside a high-timeframe bull flag while Wave 5 momentum builds. Structure, flows, and macro catalysts are aligning.
Letโs break it down ๐งต๐
โฑ๏ธ 15-Min TF: Overbought โ Healthy Consolidation
Price holding above EMA5 & EMA10 โ micro uptrend intact
RSI6: 82+ โ short-term overheating
MACD positive but momentum slowing
Key levels:
Resistance: $517.5
Support: $514.8
๐ Bull flag pole completed โ brief pullback or range before expansion
โฑ๏ธ 1-Hour TF: Momentum Still Strong
Perfect EMA stack: EMA5 > EMA10 > EMA20
MACD expanding โ bullish acceleration
RSI elevated but not extreme
Bollinger mid-line support near $503
Fibonacci upside unlocked above $511
๐ Trend continuation favored
โฑ๏ธ 4-Hour TF: Primary Bull Flag
Pole: $485 โ $526 (+41%)
Flag: $505โ$520 (controlled consolidation)
EMAs firmly bullish (EMA120 far below price)
MACD bullish crossover confirmed
Critical support: $501 (61.8%)
Breakout trigger: $520+
๐ Classic continuation pattern
๐ Daily TF: Elliott Wave 5 in Progress
Strong EMA separation โ macro trend intact
RSI neutral โ plenty of upside room
Price mid-Bollinger โ expansion phase pending
Elliott Count:
Wave 3: explosive โ๏ธ
Wave 4: clean 38.2% retrace โ๏ธ
Wave 5: now unfolding
๐ฏ Wave 5 Targets
Conservative: $520โ525
Intermediate: $540โ560
Aggressive: $595โ635
๐ฐ Order Flow & Whale Signals
4H Net Flow: +240 ZEC
24H Net Flow: +1,099 ZEC
Bid dominance: 1451 vs 341 (Ask)
Whale short capitulation: $3.25M loss closed
๐ Smart money leaning long
๐๏ธ Macro Catalyst
Arthur Hayesโ family office Maelstrom enters 2026 at near-max risk:
Heavy ZEC exposure
Thesis: Liquidity expansion + deficits = privacy coin breakout
Minimal stables โ high conviction