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The Bitcoin (BTC) price has been moving within a narrow range for weeks, and this pattern closely resembles the timing and structure observed just before the sharp rise in 2025.
The prolonged stagnation in the cryptocurrency market has caused the Bitcoin price to remain directionless. BTC has been trading between approximately $80,000 and $95,000 since November 21, and this period is now approaching 50 days.
This scenario is reminiscent of the sideways trend seen in the early months of 2025. During that time, Bitcoin's price was confined between $76,000 and $85,000 for about 52 days, then surged with a strong move, pushing above $126,000 within months.
Analysts point out that, unlike past cycles, Bitcoin is now tiring the market with long periods of sideways movement rather than sudden and sharp crashes. Especially after 2023, the upward structure shows a pattern of pauses and continued movements rather than abrupt jumps.
Such periods tend to reduce the interest of short-term investors while laying the groundwork for a healthier price foundation.
Macro Perspective: The outlook is turning in Bitcoin's favor
In traditional markets, expectations for economic recovery are gaining strength. The GDPNow data released by the Atlanta Fed indicates that the US economy grew at a rate of 5.4% in the last quarter.
Meanwhile, expectations remain that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a total of 50 basis points in 2026. Additionally, President Trump’s proposal to purchase mortgage-backed securities worth up to $200 billion keeps liquidity expectations alive in the markets.
Renowned economist Mohamed El-Erian emphasizes that political pressures may not be limited to interest rate cuts alone, and asset purchases could also be reconsidered.
When all these factors are considered together, the ongoing sideways trend in Bitcoin for weeks is increasingly seen as setting the stage for a new upward movement similar to the one in April 2025.