#美联储降息预测

Is a rate cut the resurrection armor for crypto? Read the guidance before getting hyped!

Probability of a rate cut is 84%. In traditional finance, that's a "sure thing"; in crypto, it's "almost certain but still not safe to go all in." Because what really determines the market trend isn't the rate cut itself, but the future path signaled by the Fed: will there be more cuts? Slow cuts? No more cuts?
If the Fed hints at continued easing next year, the market will shift from "cautious recovery" to "accelerated FOMO." On the other hand, if inflation risks are emphasized, even a rate cut could turn into a "sell the news" event.
My market outlook:
— Mild rebound is more likely, but the magnitude depends on the tone.
Strategy:
— Majors will see range breakout moves; focus on key BTC levels.
— Altcoins will be mixed; hot themes may follow but sustainability depends on market sentiment.
— If the tone is dovish, I'll add to ETH, SOL, and key L2s.

"Rate cuts set the direction, the speech sets the speed."