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Plan for Bitcoin: Survive the "liquidity hunger" with an eye on future rise
The current period of tightening global liquidity is a tough test for all risk assets, including Bitcoin. You are right: the macroeconomic background is pressuring, but the fundamental indicators of the network speak of hidden strength. Your plan should not be about panic, but about strategically using this phase of consolidation.
1. Acknowledge the reality of the macro environment.
The Federal Reserve System (FRS) and other central banks are conducting a policy of quantitative tightening (QT) and raising interest rates to combat inflation. This pulls "cheap" money from the markets. In such conditions, it is difficult to expect an explosive bull rally. Bitcoin, as an asset correlated with liquidity, will face pressure. Your task is to accept this as a given and not expect quick victories.
2. Focus on the unkillable fundamentals.
As the price fluctuates, the Bitcoin network only becomes stronger. This is your main source of confidence:
· Hashrate: Continues to reach historical highs. This means that the network is safer and more decentralized than ever. Miners are voting with their money for long-term prospects.
· Rise of addresses and activity: The number of new addresses and unique active wallets remains high, indicating continued adoption despite the bear market.
· The strength of "HODLers": Long-term holders continue to accumulate coins, demonstrating faith in the fundamental value of the asset. Their behavior is the opposite of the panic of speculators.
3. Your personal action plan:
· Accumulation, not trading: Instead of trying to catch the bottom, use a dollar cost averaging strategy (DCA). Regularly buy small fixed amounts, regardless of short-term volatility. This allows you to accumulate the asset at a favorable average price without emotional decisions.
· Security is the top priority: Do not store large amounts on exchanges. Use hardware wallets (cold wallets) for self-custodial storage. Remember: "Not your keys, not your coins". During periods of instability, the risks of exchange hacks or bankruptcies increase.
· Discipline and long-term horizon: Set clear financial goals and timelines for yourself, for example, 2-4 years (. Do not succumb to fear and greed dictated by the news background. Remember, tightening liquidity is not forever. When central banks return to stimulating the economy, Bitcoin, tested under harsh conditions, will be ready for the next major rally. )