⬤ Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior is getting fresh scrutiny as cycle analysis points to a potential downturn lasting through October 2026. The outlook relies on Bitcoin’s established four-year cycle pattern, which has consistently marked major peaks followed by substantial corrections. A recently shared BTC chart maps these cycles and positions current price movement within this recurring framework.
⬤ The chart identifies three significant cycle tops occurring roughly four years apart in 2017, 2021, and 2025. After each peak, Bitcoin entered correction territory lasting close to twelve months. Previous declines measured about 87 percent from the 2017 high and nearly 80 percent from the 2021 peak. The chart now illustrates a similar pattern unfolding after the 2025 top, with the current downward phase beginning around October 2025.
⬤ The projected timeline suggests this decline could run for approximately one year, matching the duration of earlier corrections. The chart shows Bitcoin potentially moving toward the lower edge of a long-term ascending channel that’s guided price action for over a decade. Within this structure, the possible low point sits near $29,000 by October 2026, representing a drawdown size consistent with past cycle corrections.
⬤ This cycle-based perspective carries weight because Bitcoin’s extended trends have historically shaped sentiment and behavior across the entire crypto market. Multi-month decline phases tend to influence expectations far beyond Bitcoin itself, affecting trading patterns and risk appetite throughout the digital asset space. If the repeating cycle structure continues holding true, Bitcoin’s path through late 2026 will likely serve as a key reference point for gauging where the current market cycle stands.
Bitcoin Cycle Chart Points to Possible $29K Level by October 2026
⬤ Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior is getting fresh scrutiny as cycle analysis points to a potential downturn lasting through October 2026. The outlook relies on Bitcoin’s established four-year cycle pattern, which has consistently marked major peaks followed by substantial corrections. A recently shared BTC chart maps these cycles and positions current price movement within this recurring framework.
⬤ The chart identifies three significant cycle tops occurring roughly four years apart in 2017, 2021, and 2025. After each peak, Bitcoin entered correction territory lasting close to twelve months. Previous declines measured about 87 percent from the 2017 high and nearly 80 percent from the 2021 peak. The chart now illustrates a similar pattern unfolding after the 2025 top, with the current downward phase beginning around October 2025.
⬤ The projected timeline suggests this decline could run for approximately one year, matching the duration of earlier corrections. The chart shows Bitcoin potentially moving toward the lower edge of a long-term ascending channel that’s guided price action for over a decade. Within this structure, the possible low point sits near $29,000 by October 2026, representing a drawdown size consistent with past cycle corrections.
⬤ This cycle-based perspective carries weight because Bitcoin’s extended trends have historically shaped sentiment and behavior across the entire crypto market. Multi-month decline phases tend to influence expectations far beyond Bitcoin itself, affecting trading patterns and risk appetite throughout the digital asset space. If the repeating cycle structure continues holding true, Bitcoin’s path through late 2026 will likely serve as a key reference point for gauging where the current market cycle stands.