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According to the market data from Gate.io, the veteran Pow token [BCH](/trade/BCH_USDT) The current price is $394.55, reaching a high of $420 within the day. BCH currently has a market capitalization of $7.8 billion, ranking 20th in the overall market.

![](https://gimg2.gateimg.com/image/article/1741256188bch.jpeg)

[BCH price](/price/bitcoin-cash-bch) Breaking through the key resistance level of $400 has attracted market attention to the subsequent trend. As one of the most influential fork coins of <a href="/ja/price/bitcoin-btc" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Bitcoin</a> (BTC), BCH has always been at the center of controversy and opportunities in the <a href="/ja/price" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">cryptocurrency market</a>. This article will deeply analyze its long-term value potential from the three dimensions of technical characteristics, ecological progress, and market cycle.

## BCH 2025 Price Prediction Model

### Base case scenario (probability 55%)

- Assuming that the Bitcoin ETF drives the market into a mild bull market, the BCH ecosystem TVL grows to 80 million US dollars, and the hash rate stability is maintained.
- Price range: $800-1200 (corresponding to the top 15 market cap before 2025).

### Optimistic scenario (25% probability)

- Assuming: BCH successfully locks in the 'payment + basic layer DeFi' dual track, with the emergence of phenomenal applications (such as widespread adoption of on-chain stablecoins), the hash rate share increases to 8% of the BTC network (currently about 1.5%).
- Price range: $1800-2500 (impacting the top 10 cryptocurrencies).

### Risk scenario (20% probability)

- Assumption: Regulatory crackdown on forked coin trading, core development team split, hash rate security deteriorates.
- Price range: $150-300 (competing in the second tier of coins).

### Dynamic institutional holdings and on-chain signals

- Miner Position Index: The current BCH miner wallet balance accounts for 12.3%, lower than the peak of 19.8% in 2020, indicating some hash rate shifting towards short-term arbitrage.
- Whale Address Activity: The number of addresses holding over 10,000 BCH has increased by 7% in nearly half a year, which may imply a narrative of institutional-level fund deployment halving.
- Development activity: GitHub commits are consistently around 45 per month, lagging behind ETH (220+) and SOL (180+), but higher than most forked coins.

## BCH Market Analysis

### Trading data

- Spot Price: 394.5 USDT
- 24h increase: 5.37%
- Highest price in 24 hours: 419.8 USDT
- 24-hour low: 371.2 USDT
- Support level: 383.4 USDT
- Resistance level: 406.8 USDT
- Market sentiment: The fear and greed index is 25, indicating extreme fear in the market.

### Technical analysis

- Bearish signal: The current RSI indicator shows an overbought condition, which may lead to a price pullback.
- Bullish signal: There is currently no clear bullish signal.

## Trading strategy suggestion

### Strategy 1: Short-term bearish strategy

- Direction: Short
- Entry Price: 394.5 USDT (current price)
- Stop-loss price: 406.8 USDT (resistance level)
- Target price: 383.4 USDT (support level)

Reason: The current market sentiment is extremely fearful, which may lead to a price pullback. The RSI indicator shows overbought conditions, indicating a potential price decline in the short term.

### Strategy 2: Short-term Bullish Strategy (Rebound)

- Direction: Bullish
- Entry Price: 383.4 USDT (support level)
- Stop-loss price: 371.2 USDT (24-hour low)
- Target price: 394.5 USDT (current price)

Reason: If the price retraces to the support level of 383.4 USDT, a rebound may occur. In extremely fearful markets, prices sometimes find support at the support level and bounce back.

## BCH 2025 Outlook

The big pump in the price of BCH requires three conditions to be met: the continuous high transaction fee environment of the Bitcoin mainnet highlights its payment advantages; the on-chain financial protocol achieves real user growth; and the decentralization of computing power improves after the halving.

[BCH](/trade/BCH_USDT) After breaking through $400, it may experience a short-term adjustment, but in the long run, its market position is still attracting attention from miners and institutions. Whether it can reach $1000 or even higher in the future depends on its ecological development, market demand, and the overall cryptocurrency market cycle.

<div class="blog-details-info">
<div>Author: **Icing**, Gate.io Researcher
<div class="info-tips">\*This article represents only the views of the researcher and does not constitute any investment suggestions. Investment involves risks and users need to make careful decisions.
<div>\*Gate.io reserves all rights to this article. Reposting of the article will be permitted provided Gate.io is referenced. In all cases, legal action will be taken due to copyright infringement.
</div>

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BCH Breaks the $400 Mark, Will BCH Surge in 2025?