ChainCatcher 消息，Matrixport 发布图表称，本周比特币几乎没有明显波动，而这恰恰说明当前时点更值得关注。平静表象下，市场结构正在悄然变化。约 25 亿美元的 gamma 敞口即将到其月出清，自高点以来已有 267 亿美元撤出市场，整体仓位也正接近一次重置。
后续走势的主导因素，或将从期权机制，逐步转向流动性本身。在本期报告中，我们将重点分析三点：近期这轮反弹是否具有误导性，是否足以构成趋势反转；期权到期后，被动对冲压力将主要集中于何处；以及市场需要满足哪些条件，才能支撑更可持续的企稳。
或许，这一轮周期最值得关注的阶段才刚刚开始。目前，比特币价格较一周前大致持平，但走势并不平稳。此前的快速下跌，以及随后同样迅速的反弹，很大程度上都与期权仓位结构有关。做市商此前一直维持 short gamma 仓位。随着价格下行，他们被迫卖出期货以对冲敞口，从而在机制上放大了跌势，并加速推动价格向 63,000 美元靠拢。
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