1月21日消息,受宏观经济与地缘政治不确定性持续发酵影响,美国现货比特币ETF与以太坊ETF在本周二合计出现约7.13亿美元的资金净流出,成为2026年以来最显著的一次机构层面去风险化信号。数据显示,当日比特币相关基金合计流出约4.83亿美元,多只产品同时承压,反映出机构资金在市场震荡加剧时选择快速降低敞口。此前一个交易日,类似的卖压已显现,当时比特币ETF净流出接近4亿美元,说明撤离并非偶发事件。
以太坊ETF方面,周二净流出约2.3亿美元,结束了此前连续五天的资金回流。部分大型资产管理机构旗下产品出现明显减仓,直接削弱了现货市场的买盘支持。在这一背景下,比特币价格一度跌破8.9万美元关口,与一周前接近9.7万美元的高点形成鲜明对比;以太坊也同步走弱,回落至3000美元下方,加重了市场的谨慎情绪。
多位研究人员将这一轮资金外流与国际局势挂钩。美国与欧盟围绕格陵兰问题的贸易摩擦仍未缓和,加之全球债券市场波动,日本投资者对政府债券的抛售被认为削弱了整体流动性,进一步传导至股票与加密资产。Presto Research的Peter Chung指出,这类跨市场的压力往往会在短期内放大风险资产的下行幅度。
不过,也有观点认为这更像是阶段性调整而非趋势反转。Jeff Mei认为,特朗普的关税言论虽对市场形成冲击,但历史经验显示其立场往往在市场压力下趋于缓和。LVRG的Nick Ruck则表示,当前的资金外流更多体现为地缘政治驱动的暂时性去杠杆,机构对加密资产长期价值的看法并未根本改变。
值得注意的是,同一交易日XRP相关ETF也出现超过5000万美元的净流出,而Solana相关产品却录得约300万美元净流入,显示资金正在进行更精细化的重新配置。随着2026年宏观环境逐步明朗,市场普遍预期这些波动将为下一阶段的资金回流奠定基础。
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