Is it really like this?

Traders predict, but which trader exactly?
Unless oil prices and inflation continue to rise
there's a possibility of rate hikes
but it's quite contradictory now
unemployment is also rising
ordinary people have no wages, yet prices remain so high, how are we supposed to live?
Personally, I feel that once the war ends, oil prices will gradually return to normal
this year is an observation year, the possibility of rate hikes is very very small
similarly, expectations for rate cuts are also very small, and even if there are any, the frequency and magnitude certainly won't be high
so, don't expect big price movements for Bitcoin this year for now