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When you break through this limit by luck and the numbers in your account exceed your cognitive capacity to comprehend, the market will reclaim this money through another way—losses, liquidation, or being scammed.
Because you don't understand how this money came about, you understand even less how to keep it.
When you made money by betting on a narrative, you'll think you're an industry analysis expert and increase your leverage; when you made money through high-frequency trading, you'll think you're a short-term genius and expand your exposure.
You use flawed logic to amplify your capital, and there's only one result: you spit out your previous lucky gains along with interest, and even have to add more on top.
"The Law of Large Numbers" is an undefeated house.
In the short term, trading has randomness—flipping a coin might come up heads ten times in a row.
But in the long term, probability reverts to the mean. If your trading system doesn't have a positive expected value (i.e., makes money over the long run), then no matter how big an advantage you've accumulated through luck in the early stages, as long as you keep trading, the inevitable result will trend toward losses.
People who make money through luck are essentially playing a negative expected value game (low win rate, low payout, plus fees as "rake"). Their early profits are nothing but "principal" that the market is temporarily holding for them.
As long as you don't leave the table, as long as you don't establish a real edge, you will inevitably lose everything. This is no different from gamblers in a casino. Gamblers who win often can't bear to leave, so they lose all their winnings and even lose their original stakes.
Arrogance is an accelerator for liquidation.
The biggest byproduct of luck is arrogance.
This arrogance makes you refuse to learn, refuse to review your trades, refuse to admit mistakes.
You'll think "I don't need a system, I am the system"; "I don't need stop losses, because I have a feeling it will come back up."
This arrogance makes you lose "reverence" for the market, and traders who lose reverence are often taught a harsh lesson by the market.

Part 3: How to Break the "Gains and Losses Share the Same Source" Curse

True enlightenment is not learning how to make money, but learning how to identify and refuse "luck money."

Establish a "trading journal" to distinguish luck from skill.
Every time you profit, don't rush to celebrate—ask yourself three questions: What was my entry logic? What was my risk management plan? Did this profit come from my logic being validated, or from the market just rallying randomly?
If it's the latter—for example, you bought a value stock but it surged because it caught onto a concept—then this money is "luck money" for you. You need to be clear about this and remove it from your "skill account."
In fact, you could even consider withdrawing this money, spending it, or depositing it into a separate account, telling yourself: This money never belonged to me anyway, so I won't feel bad losing it.

Only trade within your "model." This is the iron law of top traders.
What is "within model"? It means you've verified it hundreds of times, you know its win rate, payout ratio, maximum drawdown, and you know when it fails. For trades outside your model, no matter how good the opportunity looks or how much money others are making, you should avoid it like the plague.
When you only trade within your model, you minimize the interference of luck.
You accept the randomness of individual trades, but you trust the long-term probability of your system. This way, even if you lose money, it's a "correct loss"; even if you make money, it's an "earned profit."

Revere the market, admit your ignorance. In the end, trading is not about who is smarter or more hardworking, but who is more "humble."
Constantly remind yourself: The market is unpredictable, I can make mistakes, I can only earn money within my knowledge.
This humility keeps you calm when profitable and restrained when losing. It makes you establish strict risk management systems and choose to be in cash when you can't see the direction clearly.
This "walking on thin ice" mentality is your strongest moat in this market.

Conclusion: Return "Luck" to the Market

Trading is a form of cultivation, not cultivating how to seize opportunities, but how to preserve your integrity.
That version of you who made money through luck is actually standing on a cliff edge. Beneath your feet is not gold, but thin ice.
True masters never covet the gifts of luck. Every cent they earn carries the cost of sweat, logic, and risk. They understand that only money earned through knowledge, systems, and discipline can be slept on soundly, preserved, and passed down.
If you're currently enjoying the favor of "luck," stop immediately. Examine your account, examine your trades, and separate out that "luck money" that doesn't belong to you.
Return the luck to the market, keep the knowledge for yourself. This is where trading enlightenment begins.
This is my story back then. Now it's your turn. Is your current profit from luck or from skill? Welcome to share your trading story in the comments. $ETH #Gate广场AI测评官
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