#比特币对比代币化黄金 **How to view crude oil next week? Three signals tell you the direction**

On Friday’s US session, WTI closed at $59.67, up 1.2%. This rebound isn’t out of nowhere—three dimensions are giving bullish signals at the same time: macro environment, supply side, and technicals.

Let’s start with the big picture. Fed rate cut expectations are heating up. Once liquidity eases and funding costs drop, industrial demand naturally picks up. On the supply side: geopolitical tensions are still suppressing capacity recovery, global inventory structure is unbalanced, and the supply chain is tight. As for technicals: the daily chart held up around $56. Although the candlesticks are still seesawing, the bears are clearly losing steam. MACD is tangled below the zero line, still lacking a clear trend, but if it breaks below $56, it might be time to reassess the bullish narrative.

The hourly chart is more straightforward: after price climbed up from the bottom of the range, moving averages started to fan out upward, and the short-term is in a choppy uptrend. Momentum is picking up, the odds of breaking out of the range are increasing, but don’t expect it to surge straight up.

**What to do on Monday next week?**

Pullback to 59-59.5? That’s a buying opportunity, target 61.5 to 62.5, stop loss below 58.5.
If it shoots straight up to 62.5-63? You can try a small short, target a pullback to 60.5-61, stop loss above 63.5.
If it breaks above 63 and holds? Then go with the trend, add longs, aim for 64-64.5, stop loss at 62.5.
If it drops below 59? Wait and see first, consider buying again at 58-58.5.

There’s never a 100% certainty in the market. Even if your logic is right, you have to manage risk to survive the volatility.

The above is based on the current market situation and will adjust with any news changes. $BTC $ETH These digital assets are also linked to the macro environment, and crude oil trends can to some extent reflect risk appetite.