The Trump family has come out with another memorable quote—Eric Trump said that Bitcoin will replace gold. Sounds exciting? Let’s crunch the numbers first.

Here’s the reality: Bitcoin’s current total market cap is about $1.78 trillion, while gold’s is $29 trillion. What does this mean? For Bitcoin to catch up to gold, it would have to surge 16 times, with the price per coin breaking past the $1 million mark.

To put it another way: it’s like the owner of a newly opened convenience store downstairs saying he’s going to take down Walmart. Ambition is great, but Walmart’s size is more than ten times bigger—you can’t bridge that gap with just slogans.

There’s a deeper issue—gold isn’t just an investment asset. It’s the ballast for central banks, a raw material for industrial production, and, more importantly, a value consensus formed by humanity over thousands of years. Bitcoin might capture some of gold’s “digital currency” aura, but to fully replace an ultimate asset with physical backing and historical endorsement?

Frankly, this sounds more like a carefully crafted “concept marketing” campaign, rather than a serious prediction grounded in reality. Bitcoin has its value and its future, but don’t let flashy rhetoric cloud your judgment.

Want to replace gold? Catch up to that 16x gap first. The market needs rationality, not fanaticism.