#数字货币市场洞察 $BTC Lately, a lot of people have been asking: In the crypto market, what does making money really depend on? Skill or luck?



My answer might surprise you—luck does matter, but the real question is, can you seize the opportunity when it comes? Do you have the patience to wait for it?

Don’t just envy others for catching a big wave and cashing in. The hard work they put in behind the scenes is something you probably haven’t seen. When it comes to making money, it really comes down to two fundamental principles: is your trading system solid enough, and is your capital allocation reasonable?

$ETH Let’s talk about the first one—trading system.

Everyone knows what the crypto market is like—a single unexpected news event can send a coin soaring. But if you don’t have your own trading framework, even if you catch the right trend, it’s useless:

A small uptick makes you panic and cash out early, and you miss out on the main rally;

Or you don’t take profits when you should, and when a pullback hits, you give back all your gains, maybe even end up in the red.

Those who truly make money off luck are the ones who have set their rules in stone ahead of time—where to enter, how to follow the trend, how much of your position to keep for safety.

A system isn’t for guessing the market, it’s for catching the market. When opportunity knocks, you’re ready and won’t panic.

Now, the second point—capital allocation.

The market is full of small fluctuations, but what really doubles your account are always those big cycles you have to patiently wait for.

But too many people get excited and go all in, and one wrong move wipes them out completely; others chase short-term ups and downs, burn through their capital, and have nothing left when the real opportunity comes.

Smart capital management means layering your positions:

Small positions to test the waters and get a feel for the rhythm, core positions to capture the main trend, and a base position reserved for when the cycle shifts.

It’s like farming—don’t be too eager to harvest the young crops; the real value comes from the big harvests that survive the seasons.

$SOL At the end of the day:

So-called “luck” in the crypto market never just falls from the sky;

The better prepared you are, the higher your chances are that good luck will come your way.

No empty promises, no hype—breaking down the real stuff and explaining it clearly—that’s the hard truth to surviving in this market. 💪
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TokenVelocityTraumavip
· 12-05 18:40
It’s that same old “if you’re prepared, you can make money” talk—sounds right, but what about reality? The people I know who were the most solid still got stuck holding the bag. In the end, it all comes down to who gets lucky.
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DaoGovernanceOfficervip
· 12-05 18:31
ngl, empirically speaking—this whole "luck vs skill" framing is kinda missing the actual governance structure of market dynamics. the data suggests most retail traders lack proper position sizing frameworks, which is basically decentralization theater for your portfolio lol
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RunWhenCutvip
· 12-05 18:29
That's right, the real worry is having a system but lacking patience; you really need to withstand the pullbacks. The system needs to be flexible, not rigid, as the market changes very quickly. Those who went all-in are already out; maintaining a steady mindset is the hardest part. This round truly tests human nature, and the underlying layout strategy is pretty good. The real issue is execution—knowing and doing are worlds apart.
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SchroedingerGasvip
· 12-05 18:25
That's right, but the real barrier is still being unable to endure it. I've seen too many people with a clear system who ultimately fail because of their mindset. There are way too many people who go all-in on just one market move—that's not making money, that's gambling. Having a system sounds simple, but sticking to it is harder than climbing to the sky. Capital tiering sounds correct, but the problem is most people simply don't have the patience to wait for the cycle. To be honest, just surviving is the hardest part. I've heard this theory a hundred times—the key is still execution. That's what most people lack. It's all motivational talk and practical advice, but the market doesn't buy into that. I agree, but I still see too many people losing money simply because they don't have a framework. It's easy to talk about strategy on paper, but when you're actually facing the market, it's a whole different story.
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