# 交易

Where is the endpoint of trading?
At first, everything was so dreamlike. Because of your obsession, you figured out many problems you previously didn't understand. Just when you thought you had finally found the Holy Grail, you discovered that you needed to let go of your obsession. Yet it was because of this obsession that you persevered to the end, only to be told that you can only succeed without obsession. In that moment, what was in your heart? Later, you understood a principle: all things begin with obsession and end with obsession. It's like how I used to hate being called a child born

Cleared positions yesterday, watching the show today
ETH crashed 5%, has nothing to do with me
Trading isn't about entering the market every day, it's only about trading setups you understand
Preserving capital is how you survive in the market)
In cash, dodged the ETH dump
Don't catch falling knives, don't gamble on bounces
The market never lacks opportunities, what's lacking is patience, control your hands✋
#ETH #交易 #空仓 #Investment

投資心理必修課：核心要點清單
一、市場情緒循環：從FOMO到恐慌
核心表現：上漲時焦慮追高（FOMO），下跌時恐慌割肉，陷入"高買低賣"循環
本質原因：線性思維——將短期行情誤認為長期趨勢
破局關鍵：理解市場週期，踐行巴菲特"在別人恐懼時貪婪，在別人貪婪時恐懼"
1. **損失厭惡**
* "只要不賣就不是真虧"導致死扛虧損
* 沉沒成本謬誤：為回本繼續投入更多
* 止損痛苦遠大於止盈快樂
2. **錨定效應**
* 錨定歷史高點，認為"總會漲回去"
* 被"原價vs現價"等參考價欺騙
* 過度依賴過去業績預測未來
3. **羊群效應**
* 放棄獨立判斷，盲目跟隨大眾
* 牛市頂端成"接盤俠"，熊市谷底變"割肉者"
* 從郁金香泡沫到加密貨幣，歷史一再重演
三、理性決策系統五步構建法
1. **建立估值錨點**
* 用PE、PB等指標判斷資產貴賤
* 估值過高時警惕，估值底部時布局
* 遮價測試：忽略歷史價格，專注內在價值
2. **設立投資紀律**
* 提前設定止盈止損點，嚴格執行
* 不再掙扎"要不要賣"，按規則自動執行
* 警惕"超脫感"——認為自己能超越系統
3. **擁抱概率思維**
* 任何一筆交易都是隨機事件
* 以20-50筆交易為周期評估系統
* 不再