XRP wrapped up Q1 2026 with a return rate of -23.7%, which historically has been a harbinger of volatile Q2 movements. Analysis of 13 years of data shows that Q2 rarely remains neutral—it either experiences significant rallies like the +1109% surge in 2017 or sharp declines like the -59.4% drop in 2022. April's average return rate hit a historical high of +24.8%, while June's historical average return rate stands at -5.10%. Given that XRP is currently in oversold territory, the upcoming quarter represents a critical inflection point: April could see a bullish rebound or a continuation of the downtrend.