#ETH走势分析 watching the market at 3:30 AM, $ETH has been consolidating around the 3125 level for most of the day. The 4-hour chart can’t hide it anymore—a drop to 2900 jolted everyone awake, then immediately snapped back over 200 points in a violent reversal. Looks familiar, right? Classic bear trap and shakeout move.

Now the price has broken above the trend high, and MACD is still in a shrinking volume phase. If it can break through the 3170 barrier next, and volume starts to increase after the contraction, a golden cross between DIF and DEA is highly likely. Watch the upper Bollinger Band at 3195, with mid-band support at 3080.

On the daily chart, things are getting interesting. Early session saw a high at 3150 and a low at 2900, and the EMA indicators are starting to contract, suggesting bearish momentum is fading. After breaking above the EMA15 at 3050, price went straight for the EMA30 resistance at 3150. With the key 3170 level in play, MACD is now showing a bullish breakout with expanding volume, and DIF and DEA are beginning to spread upward from a low position. On the daily Bollinger Bands, watch the upper band at 3222; as long as the middle band holds at 2980, there’s still potential.

Yesterday’s dip went as low as 2920, now the market is moving in a two-way swing. If you don't have a position, don’t rush in; wait to see if 3170 can be broken. If it doesn’t, expect more consolidation around the 3000 level; if it does break, then consider the next direction.

Here are some operational references: If the 3200–3240 range can be held and broken through, look for targets at 3280–3330, and if even stronger, 3380–3420. Conversely, if 3200–3240 can’t hold, look for a pullback to 3150–3100; if that breaks, watch for 3050 or even a retest of 3000.

Ultimately, everything depends on real-time market conditions. This article is delayed, and strategies are for reference only—manage your own risks.