#美伊局勢影響 The escalation of US-Iran tensions in March 2026 (Operation "Epic Fury") caused significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Due to their 24-hour trading nature, cryptocurrencies have become a frontline indicator of geopolitical risks. 1. Market Price Flash Crashes and Rebounds Initial Sharp Drop: Following reports of a joint US-Israel airstrike on February 28, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) rapidly declined by about 5-6%, temporarily falling below the $63,000 mark. V-Shaped Reversal: The market then exhibited a "V-shaped" movement. Rumors of leadership changes in Iran and the influx of safe-haven funds pushed Bitcoin back above $69,000, indicating serious disagreement over the conflict's direction. Latest Situation: As of March 3, 2026, Bitcoin has retreated to around $67,000. Ethereum (ETH) is struggling in the $1,900 range. 2. Capital Flows and Market Confidence Mass Liquidations: Within 24 hours of the conflict outbreak, total liquidations across the network reached $517 million, affecting over 150,000 traders. Debate Over Safe-Haven Status: Although Bitcoin is regarded as "digital gold," its performance during this conflict was closer to a "risk asset," declining alongside US stock futures. Some analysts believe that only when the Federal Reserve resumes money printing (quantitative easing) in response to the war will cryptocurrencies experience a true structural surge. Capital Flight: Large-scale capital outflows have occurred within Iran, with users rushing to withdraw assets from local exchanges to avoid potential systemic collapse. 3. Market Predictions Insider Trading Suspicion: Anomalous trading was observed on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket before the airstrike. Six mysterious wallets placed precise bets hours before the operation, predicting "the US will attack Iran," with profits exceeding $1.2 million. The market is currently closely watching whether the Strait of Hormuz will be blocked, which will determine whether cryptocurrencies will further decline due to energy inflation or rebound due to demand for fiat currency hedging $BTC $ETH $XRP