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In recent years, the <a href="/ja/price" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">cryptocurrency market</a> has gradually become a convergence point of traditional finance and emerging culture, and the rise of political-themed tokens has pushed this trend to a climax. Among them, the <a  rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer"  href="/trade/TRUMP_USDT?ch=ann6430" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">TRUMP</a> token symbolizing the US President Donald Trump has become the focus of market attention due to its strong association with political hot topics. This article will combine political cycles, market sentiment, and technical analysis to provide an overview of the TRUMP token in 2025. [Price trend](/price-prediction) Conduct forward-looking exploration.

![](https://gimg2.gateimg.com/image/article/1741675107HOTSPOT.webp)

## Positioning and Current Situation of the TRUMP Token

<a href="https://www.gate.io/blog/5773/What-is-the-TRUMP-Token-and-How-is-It-Related-to-Trump-and-MEME-Tokens" target="_blank" title="TRUMP tokens">TRUMP tokens</a> are typically classified as "political meme coins," with a value logic similar to community-driven tokens like <a href="/ja/price/dogecoin-doge" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Dogecoin</a> (DOGE) or Pepe Frog (PEPE), with price volatility highly dependent on topic popularity and market sentiment.

On January 18, 2025, Trump announced the launch of his official TRUMP meme coin via social media. After the announcement, the market value of TRUMP meme coin skyrocketed to around $2 billion in less than 30 minutes and surpassed the $30 billion mark on the same evening. On January 19, TRUMP meme coin reached $78 on the Gate.io platform, with a total circulation market value approaching $80 billion, briefly surpassing DOGE to enter the top 10 in the <a href="/ja/price" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">crypto market</a>.

According to the market data from Gate.io, the current price of the TRUMP token is $11.14, with a 24-hour decrease of 7.25%. The current circulating market value of the TRUMP token is $2.2 billion, ranking 39th in the entire market.

## Core variables of TRUMP token price trend

### Political Variables: Trump's 'Real Influence'

2025 will be the opening year of the new U.S. president's term (2025-2029). The TRUMP token may become supporters' 'digital support tool' due to its 'cultural symbol' attribute, driving short-term speculative demand.

### Crypto market cycles: the transmission effect after Bitcoin halving

The <a href="/ja/explore/bitcoin-halving-countdown" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Bitcoin halving</a> event in April 2024 usually triggers a bull market 12-18 months later. Historical patterns show that altcoins often experience explosive gains during <a href="/ja/price/bitcoin-btc" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Bitcoin</a>'s consolidation period. If the <a href="/ja/price" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">crypto market</a> as a whole enters an upward trend in 2025, TRUMP token may break through its previous high. However, one should be cautious of macroeconomic risks (such as the Federal Reserve restarting its interest rate hike cycle), leading to a pullback in risk assets.

### Project side action: Transformation from Meme to practical scenarios

If the TRUMP token team expands its practical use cases in 2025 (such as integrating with the payment scenario of Truth Social, a social platform under Trump, or cooperating with conservative political action committees for fundraising, etc.), its valuation logic may shift from pure speculation to "ecosystem value support", and long-term price stability will be significantly improved. On the contrary, if the project stagnates for a long time, the token may become a "zombie coin".

## 2025 Price Forecast: Three Scenario Analyses

### Scenario 1: Super narrative continuation (target price: $50-100)

- Trigger conditions: Implementation of 'encryption new policy' after Trump's re-election; Truth Social integrates TRUMP token payment; <a href="/ja/price/bitcoin-btc" target="_blank" class="blog_inner_link">Bitcoin</a> bull market breaks through $120,000.
- Logical verification: The market value needs to be maintained at 500 billion to 1 trillion US dollars (benchmarking the market value of DOGE in 2025), but it requires a daily trading volume of over 3 billion US dollars to support, the current liquidity level is difficult to match.

### Scenario 2: Value reconstruction after the bubble clears (target price: $20-30)

- Trigger conditions: SEC does not completely ban political tokens; TRUMP project party launches basic application scenarios; crypto market remains in consolidation overall.
- Logic support: With the market value falling to the range of 20-30 billion US dollars, the volatility decreases, and some long-term investors consider it as a "political subcultural asset" to hold.

### Scenario 3: Countdown to Zero (Target Price: USD)

- Trigger conditions: SEC initiates lawsuit; Trump faces impeachment; crypto market enters bear market.
- Risk signal: If the trading volume is below $100 million for 30 consecutive days, or if the exchange delists tokens on a large scale, the token will spiral into a death spiral.

## Future Outlook of TRUMP Token

TRUMP tokens are essentially highly risky assets that rely heavily on a single political figure, and their prices are influenced by factors such as regulatory crackdowns, liquidity traps, and moral controversies. The U.S. SEC may classify them as "unregistered securities," leading to increased risk of delisting from exchanges; the majority of trading volume is concentrated in DEX, which is prone to flash crashes due to large sell-offs; Trump's polarizing image may also lead to resistance from mainstream institutions.

Therefore, investors should consider the TRUMP token as an 'event-driven speculative position,' with an allocation ratio not exceeding 5% of the investment portfolio, and closely monitor Trump's public statements, the project team's roadmap, and regulatory developments, while setting strict stop-loss and take-profit strategies to avoid holding a heavy position on the eve of major political events.

Looking ahead to 2025, the price trend of TRUMP token will become a microcosm of the political narrative and the game of the crypto market. Although there may be an explosive rise in the short term, investors need to recognize that the ultimate value of such tokens depends on the "shelf life of collective consensus." In the end, it may not become a political totem of the digital age, but rather, under the squeeze of regulation and market bubbles, it will leave a footnote about enthusiasm and risk.

<div class="blog-details-info">
<div>Author: **Icing**, Gate.io Researcher
<div class="info-tips">\*This article represents only the views of the researcher and does not constitute any investment suggestions. Investment involves risks and users need to make careful decisions.
<div>\*Gate.io reserves all rights to this article. Reposting of the article will be permitted provided Gate.io is referenced. In all cases, legal action will be taken due to copyright infringement.
</div>

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2025 Trump Token (TRUMP) Price Prediction: The Battle Between Political Frenzy and the Crypto Market